• Screak42@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    Reddit will never be normal again after this. Someone else said it recently - It doesn’t matter if only 5% (or less) of the user base leave because this 5% will most likely be the most passionate and active users actively creating content that is not advertisement.
    In the long run; the content quality will decline because of that.

    In addition, these statistics likely do not distinguish what is bot traffic that are scraping the site vs users. The bots will keep scraping.

    • jeebus@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      Not only that, once reddit IPOs they are tied to wallstreet and must beat wallstreet quarterly estimates or else. They already had trouble turning a profit, they are going to pound the users with shit no one wants. That was already happening, but it’s going to get worse.

      • XiELEd@kbin.social
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        1 year ago

        It’s almost a relief that I was (relatively) recently introduced to 3rd party apps that it made me care enough to move to Kbin in protest of Reddit’s actions. The future there is bleak.

        • devexxis@lemmy.ml
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          1 year ago

          Been on Reddit for 4 years. Almost exclusively used the official app. I was completely irritated by the ads disguised as posts. @ChristianSelig posts about the API drama and I tried out a few of the 3PAs. What in the name of God was I ever doing on the official app?

          • Boz (he/him)@lemmy.one
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            1 year ago

            The ads disguised as posts annoyed me so much I nearly left a year ago. I found a way to block them, but I’m glad to have found a substitute I can use.

    • wvenable@lemmy.ca
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      1 year ago

      Reddit basically had a monopoly – given how quickly things are moving on Lemmy and other sites – I think that monopoly is over. It’s still a bit too chaotic here for a major mass move but there’s now so much more interesting content. People will eventually figure out how to make these sites competitive now that there is so much interest.

      It’s at that point that things will really change.

      • SirEDCaLot@lemmy.fmhy.ml
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        1 year ago

        I think you and @Screak42 hit the nail on the head.
        There was never going to be a mass exodus, not without an established competitor (as Reddit was to Digg back in the day).

        Trust has been broken. That’s like a boat that now has a tiny hole in it- it may not sink now, but that doesn’t mean it’s not sinking.

        That said- I don’t think there will be a mass move. I think the more passionate old school people will migrate away, which will leave less content for the newer folks. The site will certainly get a lot less interesting. And this will hurt them in the long run. But like most mismanagement, it’ll look good for the next quarter or two.

        • wvenable@lemmy.ca
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          1 year ago

          People forget that there wasn’t even a mass exodus from Digg. Although we can pinpoint the exact day that Digg killed itself, it actually took a long time for everyone to eventually leave. People hedged their bets between platforms – just as many people are doing now between Reddit and all the new alternatives.

          This week on Lemmy actually feels very different from last week. There’s some sort of critical mass that has been hit even if it’s just some minuscule tiny fraction of the total traffic of Reddit.

          • SirEDCaLot@lemmy.fmhy.ml
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            1 year ago

            Agree 100% on the critical mass. Last week I would visit a day later and sort by new, and there’d be maybe a page of stuff since my last visit. Now I am back to sorting by top day, because going through new would take hours.

            I think it’s not just more users that are here, but that the users who are here are invested now. It’s no longer just a fun toy to hack around with, it’s potentially a new home so we are starting to decorate :-)

            We’re not going to get the same numbers as Reddit, and that’s a good thing. I don’t want already users to leave. I want the smart ones to leave and come here. The ones who have something to say, the ones who can engage in discussion and debate, the type of people who made up reddit’s early user base. The idiots who just want to scroll memes and TikTok style low effort videos all day and can’t have a respectful conversation to save their own life, Reddit can have them. They install apps without question and don’t use ad blockers so maybe Reddit can make some money of them. Best of luck with it.

  • Mulberry6@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    I expect the bigger test will be when the API changes go into effect and third-party apps become unusable.

    Personally, I have no plans or intention to use the native Reddit app. I may still browse the site on my desktop from time to time, but I’m intentionally making the shift to Lemmy as my go-to for mobile use… I’ll be happy when third-party apps for Lemmy are a little more stable and reliable so I don’t have to go through a mobile browser.

      • SkyNTP@lemmy.ml
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        1 year ago

        More than sync, at least another dozen or so clients. The dev environment here is booming, which is why I am here and not on Reddit.

    • impulse@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Same. Reddit without Boost or other third party apps is borderline unusable. The official app is an ad- and telemetry infested piece of garbage, but if you are planning on selling user data, I guess that helps.

      I still visit Reddit on desktop during work, it’s often the top Google result for some of my niche questions, but on the other hand I’m pretty glad to have my year long death scrolling behavior cured.

      I don’t use Reddit on mobile anymore and Lemmy is simply not convenient enough with Jerboa’s early stage of development, which means I spend about 90% less time using these apps compared to Boost. My productivity has skyrocketed.

    • SwingingKoala@discuss.tchncs.de
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      1 year ago

      Even then, I don’t expect a huge impact short term. Most redditors are lurkers and content consuming zombies, they will continue to happily consume content manufactured by professional content producers. A few who will notice the decline in quality content might look for alternatives.

    • eleitl@lemmy.ml
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      1 year ago

      I can’t use the official app even if I wanted to. Most of my use is on LineageOS sans gapps. And with old.reddit.com gone I will be locked out completely.

      • SSUPII@sopuli.xyz
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        1 year ago

        old reddit was confirmed to stay, but with how things have went it is looking hard to believe it will be for too long

          • ASCIIansi@infosec.pub
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            1 year ago

            That would definitely be the day I stopped checking in. New reddit looks a lot like what they changed digg into, and is about as useful.

  • OtakuAltair@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    The real dip will happen when the third party apps go down, specially with stuff like reddit Sync’s dev now making Sync for Lemmy instead, and Artemis for kbin/Lemmy and Memmy being heavily inspired by Apollo.

    Lots of people come over when you explain it to them; even made this quick summary including Sync and Artemis to explain to confused redditors what’s happening, and it seems to be effective. Feel free to use it.

    • B0rax@feddit.de
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      1 year ago

      Memmy is improving almost by the hour, it is incredible what the dev is pulling off here.

  • dudeami0@lemmy.dudeami.win
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    1 year ago

    The screenshot is a picture of visit duration, I would be interested to see the other statistics. Most Reddit users will return though once the sub-reddits open back up, which is why they are forcing it.

  • RightHandOfIkaros@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    How are these stats aggregated and sourced? If these are coming directly from Reddit, I mean, I wouldnt put it past them to try and modify those values with bot accounts if necessary.

    • Evono@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Reddit can’t even read their own stats right when they threatened r/Finland they said they have 2 million users the mods checked and they have 20k users but 2 million views.

      Highly different