• Sirence@feddit.de
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    4
    ·
    1 year ago

    Your door has 1% chance at the start and will always have 1%. The other door “inherits” the probability of all other doors the host opened. So that door has its original 1% as well as the 98% of the other doors, resulting in 99%.

    Like sure, your door could have been correct from the start, but the chance is 1%. The other door has 99%. Betting on a 1% chance is just not the smart thing.